Industry
AI Minute Newsroom
2026-08-22
The day after his robot company's stock closed 460 percent up, the founder said the breakthrough might be ten years out
Speaking at the World Robot Conference in Beijing on 20 August, Unitree founder Wang Xingxing put a number on the industry's favourite phrase. The "ChatGPT moment" for humanoid robots, he said, could come in two to three years at the fastest and five or even ten years at the slowest — a window that runs to 2036. He also defined what he means by it, which is the useful part: a robot you put into a home it has never seen, which then completes roughly 80 percent of everyday tasks from voice or text instructions alone. Against that bar he listed what is still missing. Robots do not generalise well to unfamiliar tasks, precise movement remains hard, his own machines are less efficient than human workers, and each new task requires retraining from scratch. The timing gives the remarks their weight: Unitree had listed in Shanghai the day before, closing 460 percent above its offer price on debut, and the stock fell 11 percent the following session.
Why it mattersIt is rare for the person with the most to gain from the hype to be the one applying the brake, and worth noticing when it happens. Wang's definition is also a better test than any benchmark chart: not whether a robot can backflip in a demo video, but whether it can walk into a stranger's kitchen and get four jobs out of five done without being reprogrammed. By that measure nothing on sale today is close. If you are trying to work out how seriously to take the humanoid robot wave, the useful reading is that the hardware is shipping and the money has arrived, while the software that would make the hardware worth owning is, by the seller's own estimate, somewhere between two and ten years away.
✓ Verified · 4 sources
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